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Downloadable Papers (sorted by date)

See the top 20 books referenced/cited in these (below listed) papers.

I've put a gray background on the top five most browsed papers in this category.   (Oct-1)

A Bottom-Up Dynamic Model of Portfolio Credit Risk with Stochastic Intensities and Random Recoveries
by Tomasz R. Bielecki of Illinois Institute of Technology,
Areski Cousin of Université Lyon 1, LSAF,
Stéphane Crépey of Université d'Evry Val d'Essonne, and
Alexander Herbertsson of University of Gothenburg
(935K PDF) -- 26 pages -- August 26, 2013

Is the Jump-Diffusion Model a Good Solution for Credit Risk Modeling? The Case of Convertible Bonds
by Tim Xiao of Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, CIBC
(380K PDF) -- 25 pages -- May 21, 2013

On Multivariate Extensions of Value-at-Risk
by Areski Cousin of Université Lyon 1, and
Elena Di Bernardino of CNAM
(380K PDF) -- 25 pages -- April 4, 2013

The Limits of Granularity Adjustments
by Jean-David Fermanian of CREST-ENSAE
(402K PDF) -- 29 pages -- March 20, 2013

Pricing Counterparty Risk Including Collateralization, Netting Rules, Re-Hypothecation and Wrong-Way Risk
by Damiano Brigo of Imperial College London,
Agostino Capponi of Purdue University,
Andrea Pallavicini of Imperial College London, and
Vasileios Papatheodorou of Barclays Capital
(659K PDF) -- 39 pages -- March 2013

Collateral-Enhanced Default Risk
by Chris Kenyon of Lloyds Banking Group, and
Andrew Green of Lloyds Banking Group
(2434K PDF) -- 12 pages -- February 19, 2013

Identifying European Industries with Extreme Default Risk: Application of CVaR techniques to transition matrices
by David E. Allen of Edith Cowan University,
Akhmad R. Kramadibrata of Edith Cowan University,
Rober J. Powell of Edith Cowan University, and
Abhay K. Singh of Edith Cowan University
(808K PDF) -- 45 pages -- November 2012

Dynamic Hedging of Portfolio Credit Risk in a Markov Copula Model
by Tomasz R. Bielecki of Illinois Institute of Technology,
Areski Cousin of Université Lyon 1, LSAF,
Stéphane Crépey of Université d'Évry Val d'Essonne, and
Alexander Herbertsson of University of Gothenburg
(808K PDF) -- 45 pages -- October 8, 2012

A Markov Copula Model of Portfolio Credit Risk with Stochastic Intensities and Random Recoveries
by Tomasz R. Bielecki of Illinois Institute of Technology,
Areski Cousin of Université Lyon 1, LSAF,
Stéphane Crépey of Université d'Évry Val d'Essonne, and
Alexander Herbertsson of University of Gothenburg
(808K PDF) -- 45 pages -- October 4, 2012

Compensation Incentives of Credit Rating Agencies and Predictability of Changes in Bond Ratings and Financial Strength Ratings
by Andreas Milidonis of University of Cyprus
(538K PDF) -- 48 pages -- September 26, 2012

Granularity Adjustment for Mark-to-Market Credit Risk Models
by Michael B. Gordy of Federal Reserve Board, and
James Marrone of Federal Reserve Board
(474K PDF) -- 39 pages -- July 2012

Determining Marginal Contributions of the Economic Capital of Credit Risk Portfolio: An analytical approach
by Marco Morone of Intesa Sanpaolo,
Anna Cornaglia of Intesa Sanpaolo, and
Giulio Mignola of Intesa Sanpaolo
(670K PDF) -- 17 pages -- June 2012

A Random Matrix Approach on Credit Risk
by Michael C. Münnix of the University of Duisburg-Essen,
Rudi Schäfer of the University of Duisburg-Essen, and
Thomas Guhr of the University of Duisburg-Essen
(1,225K PDF) -- 15 pages -- June 2012

A Framework for Pricing and Risk Management of Loans with Embedded Options
by Bernd Engelmann of the Quantsolutions
(236K PDF) -- 23 pages -- May 30, 2012

Aggregating Credit and Market Risk: The Impact of Model Specification
by André Lucas of VU University Amsterdam & Tinbergen Institute, and
Bastiaan Verhoef of Royal Bank of Scotland
(385K PDF) -- 33 pages -- May 29, 2012

Credit Risk Modeling with Delayed Information
by Takanori Adachi of Hitotsubashi University,
Ryozo Miura of Hitotsubashi University, and
Hidetoshi Nakagawa of Hitotsubashi University
(236K PDF) -- 23 pages -- May 3, 2012

Analytical Approximations for Loan and Credit Derivatives Portfolios
by Kay Giesecke of Stanford University,
Jack Kim of J.P. Morgan, and
Hideyuki Takada of Mizuho-DL Financial Technology, Tokyo
(310K PDF) -- 34 pages -- April 26, 2012

Pricing and Semimartingale Representations of Vulnerable Contingent Claims in Regime-Switching Markets
by Agostino Capponi of Purdue University,
José E. Figueroa-López of Purdue University, and
Jeffrey Nisen of Purdue University
(716K PDF) -- 33 pages -- February 28, 2012

A New Method to Estimate the Risk of Financial Intermediaries
by Manthos D. Delis of City University, London, and
Efthymios Tsionas of Athens University of Economics and Business
(260K PDF) -- 21 pages -- November 15, 2011

Credit Risk Measurement Methodologies
by David E. Allen of Edith Cowan University, and
Robert J. Powell of Edith Cowan University
(761K PDF) -- 7 pages -- November 2011

Structural Credit Risk using Time-changed Brownian Motions: A tale of two models
by Tom R. Hurd of McMaster University, and
Zhuowei Zhou of McMaster University
(848K PDF) -- 23 pages -- September 13, 2011

Large Portfolio Asymptotics for Loss from Default
by Kay Giesecke of Stanford University,
Konstantinos Spiliopoulos of Brown University,
Richard B. Sowers of University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, and
Justin Sirignano of Stanford University
(1267K PDF) -- 26 pages -- September 7, 2011

Modelling Small and Medium Enterprise Loan Defaults as Rare Events: The generalized extreme value regression model
by Raffaella Calabrese of University of Milano-Bicocca, and
Silvia Angela Osmetti of University Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Milan
(237K PDF) -- 20 pages -- 2013

Filtered Likelihood for Point Processes
by Kay Giesecke of the Stanford University, and
Gustavo Schwenkler of the Stanford University
(500K PDF) -- 7 pages -- July 28, 2011

KISS Approach to Credit Portfolio Modeling
by Mikhail Voropaev of ING Bank
(500K PDF) -- 7 pages -- July 2011

Precautionary Measures for Credit Risk Management in Jump Models
by Masahiko Egami of the Kyoto University, and
Kazutoshi Yamazaki of the Osaka University
(614K PDF) -- 31 pages -- June 20, 2011

Credit Risk Contributions under the Vasicek One-factor Model: A fast wavelet expansion approximation
by Luis Ortiz-Gracia of Centre de Recerca Matemàtica, and
Josep J. Masdemont of Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya
(835K PDF) -- 23 pages -- May 2011

An Analytical Framework for Credit Portfolio Risk Measures
by Mikhail Voropaev of ING Bank
(890K PDF) -- 11 pages -- May 2011

Transform Analysis for Point Processes and Applications in Credit Risk
by Kay Giesecke of the Stanford University, and
Shilin Zhu of the Stanford University
(241K PDF) -- 24 pages -- April 8, 2011

Haar Wavelets-based Approach for Quantifying Credit Portfolio Losses
by Josep J. Masdemont of the Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, and
Luis Ortiz-Gracia of the Centre de Recerca Matemàtica
(241K PDF) -- 24 pages -- April 2011

Observation Driven Mixed-measurement Dynamic Factor Models with an Application to Credit Risk
by Drew Creal of the University of Chicago,
Bernd Schwaab of the European Central Bank,
Siem Jan Koopman of the VU University Amsterdam & Tinbergen Institute, Amsterdam, and
André Lucas of the European Central Bank & Tinbergen Institute, Amsterdam
(373K PDF) -- 21 pages -- February 11, 2011

Internal Assessment of Credit Concentration Risk Capital: A portfolio analysis of Indian public sector bank
by Arindam Bandyopadhyay of the National Institute of Bank Management (NIBM), Pune
(194K PDF) -- 18 pages -- January 31, 2011

Conditional Default Probability and Density
by Nicole El Karoui of the Centre de Mathématiques Appliquées,
Monique Jeanblanc of the Laboratoire de Probabilités et Modèles Aléatoires & Université d'Évry Val d'Essonne,
Ying Jiao of the Université Paris 7, and
Behnaz Zargari of the Laboratoire de Probabilités et Modèles Aléatoires & Université d'Évry Val d'Essonne
(194K PDF) -- 18 pages -- January 6, 2011

Survival Measures and Interacting Intensity Model: With applications in guaranteed debt pricing
by Qunfang Bao of the Zhejiang University,
Shenghong Li of the Zhejiang University, and
Guimei Liu of the Zhejiang University City College
(255K PDF) -- 27 pages -- December 25, 2010

Dangerous Knowledge: Credit value adjustment with credit triggers
by Chuang Yi of the Royal Bank of Canada
(299K PDF) -- 20 pages -- December 15, 2010

Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA)
by Shahram Alavian of Lehman Brothers,
Jie Ding of Nomura,
Peter Whitehead of Deutsche Bank, and
Leonardo Laudicina of Nomura
(125K PDF) -- 22 pages -- October 9, 2010

The Failure of Models That Predict Failure: Distance, incentives and defaults
by Uday Rajan of the University of Michigan,
Amit Seru of the University of Chicago, and
Vikrant Vig of the London Business School
(1,755K PDF) -- 46 pages -- August 2, 2010

Credit Risk Premia and Quadratic BSDEs with a Single Jump
by Stefan Ankirchner of the Universtät Bonn,
Christophette Blanchet-Scalliet of the Université de Lyon, and
Anne Eyraud-Loisel of the Université Lyon 1
(303K PDF) -- 27 pages -- June 8, 2010

Credit Risk Modeling through the use of an Extended and Numerically Stable Version of CreditRisk+ and a Merton Model
by Ludovic Dubrana of AXA Polska S.A.
(457K PDF) -- 45 pages -- June 2010

Default Risk Modeling Beyond the First-Passage Approximation: Extended Black-Cox Model
by Yuri Katz of Qubit Technology Center, and
Nikolai Shokhirev of Qubit Technology Center
(2,891K PDF) -- 34 pages -- June 2010

A Dynamic Correlation Modelling Framework with Consistent Stochastic Recovery
by Yadong Li of Barclays Capital
(328K PDF) -- 23 pages -- April 21, 2010

Credit Risk Modelling with Shot-noise Processes
by Raquel M. Gaspar of the Technical University of Lisbon, and
Thorsten Schmidt of Chemnitz University of Technology
(1,147K PDF) -- 25 pages -- April 4, 2010

How to Gauge the Credit Risk of Bank Loans: Evidence from Taiwan
by Kuang-Erh Lai of National Sun Yat-sen University, and
Chau-Jung Kuo of National Sun Yat-sen University
(297K PDF) -- 8 pages -- May 2010

Interacting Path Systems for Credit Portfolios Risk Analysis
by Pierre del Moral of INRIA Bordeaux, and
Frédéric Patras of the Université de Nice
(273K PDF) -- 9 pages -- February 7, 2010

Risk Factor Contributions in Portfolio Credit Risk Models
by Dan Rosen of the Fields Institute, and
David Saunders of the University of Waterloo
(439K PDF) -- 14 pages -- February 2010

Filtering and Incomplete Information in Credit Risk
by Rüdiger Frey of the University of Leipzig, and
Thorsten Schmidt of Chemnitz University of Technology
(1,171K PDF) -- 28 pages -- January 22, 2010

Credit Calibration with Structural Models: The Lehman case and equity swaps under counterparty risk
by Damiano Brigo of Imperial College & Fitch Solutions,
Massimo Morini of Banca IMI, and
Marco Tarenghi of Banca Leonardo
(238K PDF) -- 21 pages -- December 22, 2009

CVA Computation for Counterparty Risk Assessment in Credit Portfolios
by Samson Assefa of the Université d'Evry Val d'Essonne,
Tomasz R. Bielecki of the Illinois Institute of Technology,
Stéphane Crépey of the Université d'Évry Val d'Essonne, and
Monique Jeanblanc of the Université d'Evry Val d'Essonne & Europlace Institute of Finance
(945K PDF) -- 41 pages -- December 5, 2009

What Happens After a Default: The conditional density approach
by Nicole El Karoui of the Centre de Mathématiques Appliquées,
Monique Jeanblanc of the Laboratoire de Probabilités et Modèles Aléatoires & Université d'Évry Val d'Essonne, and
Ying Jiao of the Université Paris 7
(256K PDF) -- 27 pages -- December 2, 2009

Markov Chain Models of Portfolio Credit Risk
by Tomasz R. Bielecki of the Illinois Institute of Technology,
Stéphane Crépey of the Université d'Évry Val d'Essonne, and
Alexander Herbertsson of the University of Gothenburg
(1,184K PDF) -- 44 pages -- November 23, 2009

Credit Gap Risk in a First Passage Time Model with Jumps
by Natalie Packham of the Frankfurt School of Finance & Management,
Lutz Schloegl of Nomura International Plc, and
Wolfgang Schmidt of the Frankfurt School of Finance & Management
(625K PDF) -- 39 pages -- November 2009

Up and Down Credit Risk
by Tom Bielecki of Illinois Institute of Technology,
Stéphane Crépey of the Université d' Évry Val d'Essonne, and
Monique Jeanblanc of the Université d' Évry Val d'Essonne & Europlace Institute of Finance
(1,305K PDF) -- 22 pages -- October 1, 2009

Factor Models and the Credit Risk of a Loan Portfolio
by Edgardo Palombini of Fondo Interbancario di Tutela dei Depositi (FITD)
(312K PDF) -- 23 pages -- October 2009

Credit Dynamics in a First Passage Time Model with Jumps
by Natalie Packham of the Frankfurt School of Finance & Management,
Lutz Schlögl of Nomura International Plc, and
Wolfgang M. Schmidt of the Frankfurt School of Finance & Management
(564K PDF) -- 34 pages -- September 2009

Computational Techniques for Basic Affine Models of Portfolio Credit Risk
by Andreas Eckner of Stanford University
(305K PDF) -- 37 pages -- August 2009

Recent Advances in Credit Risk Modeling
by Christian Capuano of the International Monetary Fund,
Jorge Chan-Lau of the International Monetary Fund,
Giancarlo Gasha of the International Monetary Fund,
Carlos Medeiros of the International Monetary Fund,
Andre Santos of the International Monetary Fund, and
Marcos Souto of the International Monetary Fund
(726K PDF) -- 32 pages -- August 2009

A Multiname First-Passage Model for Credit Risk
by Don L. McLeish of the University of Waterloo, and
Adam Metzler of the University of Western Ontario
(946K PDF) -- 36 pages) -- July 23, 2009

Bankruptcy Codes, Liquidation Timing, and Debt Valuation
by Max Bruche of CEMFI
(374K PDF) -- 51 pages -- July 2009

How to Gauge the Default Risk? An empirical application of structural-form models
by Su-Lien Lu of National United University, Taiwan, and
Pei-Chen Tsai of National United University, Taiwan
(155K PDF) -- 11 pages -- July 2009

Credit Migration Risk Modelling
by Andreas Anderssony of ETH Zürich & the  University of Zürich, and
Paolo Vanini of the University of Zürich & Zürcher Kantonalbank
(958K PDF) -- 34 pages -- June 9, 2009

Analytical Credit VaR with Stochastic Probabilities of Default and Recoveries
by Antonio Castagna of iason Ltd.,
Fabio Mercurio of Bloomberg & Iason ltd., and
Paola Mosconi of Iason ltd.
(293K PDF) -- 32 pages -- June 1, 2009

A Credit Risk Model Incorporating Microstructural Dependencies and Stochastic Recovery
by Matthias P. Jüttnery of the University of Zürich & Swiss Finance Institute
(413K PDF) -- 28 pages -- June 2009

An EVT Primer for Credit Risk
by Valérie Chavez-Demoulin of EPF Lausanne, and
Paul Embrechts of ETH Zurich
(825K PDF) -- 46 pages -- May 25, 2009

Credit Risk Modeling Using Time-Changed Brownian Motion
by Tom R. Hurd of McMaster University
(395K PDF) -- 18 pages -- April 15, 2009

Measuring Portfolio Credit Risk Correctly: Why parameter uncertainty matters
by Nikola A Tarashev of the Bank for International Settlements
(423K PDF) -- 43 pages -- April 3, 2009

Range of Practices and Issues in Economic Capital Frameworks
by the Bank for International Settlements
(386K PDF) -- 73 pages -- March 2009

Convertible Bonds in a Defaultable Diffusion Model
by Tomasz R. Bielecki of the Illinois Institute of Technology,
Stéphane Crépey of the Université d'Évry Val d'Essonne,
Monique Jeanblanc of the Université d'Évry Val d'Essonne & Institut Europlace de Finance, and
Marek Rutkowski of the University of New South Wales & Warsaw University of Technology
(457K PDF) -- 35 pages -- February 16, 2009

Credit Risk Modeling With Misreporting and Incomplete Information
by Agostino Capponi of the California Institute of Technology, and
Jakša Cvitanić of the California Institute of Technology
(444K PDF) -- 31 pages -- February 2009

Assessing Portfolio Credit Risk Changes in a Sample of EU Large and Complex Banking Groups in Reaction to Macroeconomic Shocks
by Olli Castrén of the European Central Bank,
Trevor Fitzpatrick of the European Central Bank, and
Matthias Sydow of the European Central Bank
(1,811K PDF) -- 38 pages -- February 2009

Rating Philosophy and Dynamic Properties of Internal Rating Systems: A general framework and an application to backtesting
by Marco Morone of Intesa Sanpaolo, and
Anna Cornaglia of Intesa Sanpaolo
(284K PDF) -- 25 pages -- January 23, 2009

Climbing Down from the Top: Single name dynamics in credit top down models
by Igor Halperin of JP Morgan, and
Pascal Tomecek of JP Morgan
(847) -- 34 pages -- January 22, 2009

Background Filtrations and Canonical Loss Processes for Top-Down Models of Portfolio Credit Risk
by Philippe Ehlers of ETH Zurich, and
Philipp J. Schönbucher of ETH Zurich
(536K PDF) -- 25 pages -- January 2009

Credit Risk - A structural model with jumps and correlations
by Rudi Schäfer of Lund University,
Markus Sjölin of Lund University,
Andreas Sundin of Lund University,
Michal Wolanski of Lund University, and
Thomas Guhr of Lund University
(1,009K PDF) -- 24 pages -- December 2, 2008

Immersion Property and Credit Risk Modelling
by Monique Jeanblanc of Université d'Évry Val d'Essonne & Institut Europlace de Finance, and
Yann Le Cam of the French Treasury
(348K PDF) -- 31 pages -- November 18, 2008

Specification Analysis of Structural Credit Risk Models
by Jing-zhi Huang of Pennsylvania State University, and
Hao Zhou of the Federal Reserve Board
(338K PDF) -- 44 pages -- October 2008

Pricing and Hedging of Portfolio Credit Derivatives with Interacting Default Intensities
by Rüdiger Frey of the University of Leipzig, and
Jochen Backhaus of the University of Leipzig
(360K PDF) -- 22 pages -- September 29, 2008

Correlation Structures of Correlated Binomial Models and Implied Default Distribution
by Shintaro Mori of Kitasato University,
Kenji Kitsukawa of Daiwa Securities SMBC, and
Masato Hisakado of Standard and Poor's
(188K PDF) -- 16 pages -- September 18, 2008

Portfolio Credit Risk: A model of correlated credit losses dynamics and the inverse-gamma approximation
by Ridha M. Mahfoudhi of Laval University & National Bank of Canada
(426K PDF) -- 34 pages -- August 2008

Extracting Systematic Factors in a Continuous-time Credit Migration Model
by Harley Thompson of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia, and
Jonathan Harris of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia & Stanford University
(173K PDF) -- 12 pages -- July 2008

A Note on Fitting Markov Operator Credit Risk Models
by Harley Thompson of Commonwealth Bank of Australia, and
Jonathan Harris of Commonwealth Bank of Australia
(399K PDF) -- 19 pages -- June 2008

Dynamic Default Rates
by Robert Lamb of Imperial College London, and
William Perraudin of Imperial College London
(299K PDF) -- 34 pages -- May 2008

A Novel Methodology for Credit Portfolio Analysis: Numerical approximation approach
by Yasushi Takano of Mizuho-DL Financial Technology, and
Jiro Hashiba of Mizuho-DL Financial Technology
(3,043K PDF) -- 60 pages -- April 24, 2008

Modeling the Loss Distribution
by Sudheer Chava of Texas A&M University,
Catalina Stefanescu of the London Business School, and
Stuart Turnbull of the University of Houston
(537K PDF) -- 53 pages -- April 21, 2008

Dynamic Models of Portfolio Credit Risk: A simplified approach
by John Hull of the University of Toronto, and
Alan White of the University of Toronto
(348K PDF) -- 53 page -- April 2008

In Search of Hybrid Models for Credit Risk: from Leland-Toft to Carr-Linetsky
by Chuang Yi of McMaster University, and
Tom Hurd of McMaster University
(307K PDF) -- 39 pages -- April 2008

Inverse CIR and Semi-Affine Intensity-based Modeling on Credit Risk
by Chuang Yi of McMaster University, and
Tom Hurd of McMaster University
(305K PDF) -- 25 pages -- April 2008

Modeling the Effect of Macroeconomic Factors on Corporate Default and Credit Rating Transitions
by Stephen Figlewski of New York University,
Halina Frydman of New York University, and
Weijian Liang of New York University
(195K PDF) -- 57 pages -- March 29, 2008

Counterparty Risk and Contingent CDS Valuation Under Correlation Between Interest-Rates and Default
by Damiano Brigo of FitchSolutions & Imperial College, London, and
Andrea Pallavicini of Banca Leonardo
(201K PDF) -- 19 pages -- March 26, 2008

Strategic Default Jump as Impulse Control in Continuous Time
by Hisashi Nakamura of the University of Tokyo
(334K PDF) -- 28 pages -- February 18, 2008

Randomization in the Default Boundary Problem
by Ken Jackson of the University of Toronto,
Alex Kreinin of Algorithmics, Inc., and
Wanhe Zhang of the University of Toronto
(119K PDF) -- 9 pages -- February 12, 2008

Portfolio Credit Risk: Top Down vs. Bottom Up Approaches
by Kay Giesecke of Stanford University
(170K PDF) -- 17 pages -- February 8, 2008

Credit Risk Assessment Considering Variations in Exposure: Application to commitment lines
by Shigeaki Fujiwara of the Bank of Japan
(303K PDF) -- 34 pages -- February 2008

A Useful Result on First Passage OU Process
by Chuang Yi of McMaster University
(168K PDF) -- 10 pages -- January 2008

Defaultable Options in a Markovian Intensity Model of Credit Risk
by Tom Bielecki of Illinois Institute of Technology,
Stéphane Crépey of the Université d'Évry,
Monique Jeanblanc of the Université d'Évry,and
Marek Rutkowski of the University of New South Wales & Warsaw University of Technology
(371K PDF) -- 23 page -- December 23, 2007

Dynamic Credit Portfolio Modelling in Structural Models with Jumps
by Rüdiger Kiesel of Ulm University & London School of Economics, and
Matthias Scherer of TU Munich
(289K PDF) -- 28 pages -- December 18, 2007

Reduced Form Modelling for Credit Risk
by Monique Jeanblanc of the Université d'Évry Val d'Essonne & Institut Europlace de Finance, and
Yann Le Cam of the Université d'Évry Val d'Essonne & French Treasury
(296K PDF) -- 21 pages -- November 12, 2007

Flexing the Default Barrier
by Gregor Dorfleitner of Vienna University of Economics and Business Administration,
Paul Schneider of Vienna University of Economics and Business Administration, and
Tanja Veža of Vienna University of Economics and Business Administration
(7,397K PDF) -- 26 pages -- November 7, 2007

Firm Heterogeneity and Credit Risk Diversification
by Samuel G. Hanson of Harvard University,
M. Hashem Pesaran of the University of Cambridge & University of Southern California, and
Til Schuermann of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York & Wharton Financial Institutions Center
(527K PDF) -- 46 pages -- November 2007

Correlated Default Modeling with a Forest of Binomial Trees
by Santhosh Bandreddi of Merrill Lynch,
Sanjiv Das of Santa Clara University, and
Rong Fan of Gifford Fong Associates
(251K PDF) -- 30 pages -- October 29, 2007

Higher-order Saddlepoint Approximations in the Vasicek Portfolio Credit Loss Model
by Xinzheng Huang of Delft University of Technology,
Cornelis W. Oosterlee of Delft University of Technology, and
Hans van der Weide of Delft University of Technology
(226K PDF) -- 21 pages -- Fall 2007

Perpetual Convertible Bonds with Credit Risk
by Christoph Kühn of Goethe-Universität, and
Kees van Schaik of Goethe-Universität
(479K PDF) -- 29 pages -- August 31, 2007

On the Parameterization of the CreditRisk+ Model for Estimating Credit Portfolio Risk
by Antoine Vandendorpe of Fortis,
Ngoc-Diep Ho of the Université Catholique de Louvain,
Steven Vanduffel of Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, and
Paul Van Dooren of the Université Catholique de Louvain
(236K PDF) -- 24 pages -- August 9, 2007

Systematic Equity-based Credit Risk: A CEV model with jump to default
by Luciano Campi of Université Paris Dauphine,
Simon Polbennikov of Lehman Brothers International, Europe, and
Alessandro Sbuelz of University of Verona
(416K PDF) -- 43 pages -- August 2007

A Radial Basis Function Approach to Credit Barrier Model
by Humphrey K.K. Wong of City University of Hong Kong,
Pascal Baup of Lehman Brothers (Toyko), and
Michael C.S. Wong of City University of Hong Kong
(141K PDF) -- 18 pages -- August 2007

The Skewed t Distribution for Portfolio Credit Risk
by Wenbo Hu of Bell Trading, and
Alec N. Kercheval of Florida State University
(449K PDF) -- 45 pages -- August 2007

Estimating Structural Models of Corporate Bond Prices
by Max Bruche of Centro de Estudios Monetarios y Financieros (CEMFI)
(242K PDF) -- 40 pages -- July 30, 2007

Estimating the Structural Credit Risk Model When Equity Prices Are Contaminated by Trading Noises
by Jin-Chuan Duan of the National University of Singapore & the University of Toronto, and
Andras Fulop of ESSEC Business School, France
(225K PDF) -- 30 pages -- July 2007

Credit Risk Models with Incomplete Information
by Xin Guo of the University of California, Berkeley,
Robert A. Jarrow of Cornell University & Kamakura Corp., and
Yan Zeng of Bloomberg
(279K PDF) -- 19 pages -- June 18, 2008

Don't Fall from the Saddle: the importance of higher moments of credit loss distributions
by Jan Annaert of the University of Antwerp,
Crispiniano Garcia Joao Batista of Dexia Bank,
Jeroen Lamoot of the Belgian Banking Finance and Insurance Commission (CBFA), and
Gleb Lanine of Dexia Bank
(354K PDF) -- 32 pages -- June 2007

A New Structural Approach to the Default Risk of Companies
by Pouyan Mashayekh Ahangarani of the University of Southern California
(76K PDF) -- 25 pages -- June 2007

A Note on Lando's Formula and Conditional Independence
by Xin Guo of the University of California, Berkeley,
Robert A. Jarrow of Cornell University, and
Christian Menn of Cornell University
(200K PDF) -- 10 pages -- May 29, 2007

Two-Dimensional Markovian Model for Dynamics of Aggregate Credit Loss
by Andrei V. Lopatin of NumeriX LLC, and
Timur Misirpashaev of NumeriX LLC
(584K PDF) -- 27 pages -- May 3, 2007

Valuation of Risky Debt: a Multi-Period Bayesian Framework
by Leonid V. Philosophov of the Moscow Committee of Bankruptcy Affairs
(317K PDF) -- 22 pages -- March 26, 2007

Economic Capital Assessment via Copulas: Aggregation and Allocation of Different Risk Types
by Marco Morone of Intesa-Sanpaolo,
Anna Cornaglia of Intesa-Sanpaolo, and
Giulio Mignola of Intesa-Sanpaolo
(941K PDF) -- 20 pages -- March 2, 2007

Modeling the Distribution of Credit Losses with Observable and Latent Factors
by Gabriel Jiménez of the Bank of Spain, and
Javier Mencía of the Bank of Spain
(498K PDF) -- 93 pages -- March 2007

Computation of VaR and VaR Contribution in the Vasicek Portfolio Credit Loss Model: A Comparative Study
by Xinzheng Huang of Delft University of Technology & Rabobank,
Cornelis W. Oosterlee of Delft University of Technology & CWI, and
Mace A. Mesters of Rabobank
(292K PDF) -- 19 pages -- March 2007

Multi-Period Corporate Failure Prediction With Stochastic Covariates
by Darrell Duffie of Stanford University,
Leandro Saita of Stanford University, and
Ke Wang of the University of Tokyo
(482K PDF) -- 32 pages -- March 2007

Idiosyncratic Risk, Systematic Risk and Stochastic Volatility: An Implementation of Merton's Credit Risk Valuation
by Hayette Gatfaoui of Groupe ESC Rouen & the University of Technology, Sydney
(1,434K PDF) -- 51 pages -- February 2007

Cross- and Autocorrelation in Multi-period Credit Portfolio Models
by Christoph K.J. Wagner of UniCredit MIB
(249K PDF) -- 17 pages -- January 22, 2007

Cluster-based Extension of the Generalized Poisson Loss Dynamics and Consistency with Single Names
by Damiano Brigo of Banca IMI,
Andrea Pallavicini of Banca IMI,and
Roberto Torresetti of Banca IMI
(313K PDF) -- 35 pages -- January 12, 2007

Modeling Defaultable Securities with Recovery Risk
by Lotfi Karoui of McGill University
(456K PDF) -- 52 pages -- January 2007

Currency Mismatches and Corporate Default Risk: Modeling, Measurement, and Surveillance Applications
by Jorge A. Chan-Lau of the International Monetary Fund, and
Andre O. Santos of the International Monetary Fund
(513K PDF) -- 13 page -- December 2006

Risk-Neutral and Actual Default Probabilities with an Endogenous Bankruptcy Jump-Diffusion Model
by Olivier Le Courtois of EM Lyon, and
François Quittard-Pinon of the University of Lyon 1
(357K PDF) -- 34 pages -- November 22, 2006

A Simple Jump to Default Model
by Dennis Yang - Unaffiliated
(390K PDF ) -- 28 pages -- November 22, 2006

The Multi-State Latent Factor Intensity Model for Credit Rating Transitions
by Siem Jan Koopman of Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam,
André Lucas of Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, and
André Monteiro of Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
(1,094K PDF) -- 45 pages -- November 17, 2006

Analytical Methods for Hedging Systematic Credit Risk with Linear Factor Portfolios
by Dan Rosen of the Fields Institute for Research in Mathematical Sciences, and
David Saunders of the University of Waterloo
(1,332K PDF) -- 47 pages -- November 2006

Beyond Hazard Rates: A new framework for credit-risk modeling
by Dorje C. Brody of the Imperial College,
Lane P. Hughston of King's College London, and
Andrea Macrina of King's College London
(339K PDF) -- 27 pages -- November 2006

Modeling Credit Risk for SMEs: Evidence from the US market
by Edward I. Altman of New York University, and
Gabriele Sabato of ABN AMRO, Amsterdam
(333K PDF) -- 43 pages -- November 2006

Modeling Portfolio Defaults Using Hidden Markov Models with Covariates
by Konrad Banachewicz of Vrije Universiteit,
Aad van der Vaart of Vrije Universiteit, and
André Lucas of Vrije Universiteit
(233K PDF) -- 24 pages -- October 28, 2006

A Multivariate Jump-Driven Financial Asset Model
by Elisa Luciano of the University of Turin and ICER, and
Wim Schoutens of Katholieke Universiteit Leuven
(915K PDF) -- 33 pages -- October 16, 2006

A Structural Model with Unobserved Default Boundary
by Thorsten Schmidt of the University of Leipzig
(282K PDF) -- 21 pages -- October 9, 2006

Credit Risk in a Network Economy
by Didier Cossin of IMD, Lausanne, and
Henry Schellhorn of Claremont Graduate University
(343K PDF) -- 24 pages -- October 4, 2006

Dynamic Frailties and Credit Portfolio Modelling
by Martin Delloye of Ixis-CIB & BNP Paribas,
Jean-David Fermanian of Ixis-CIB, and
Mohammed Sbai of Ixis-CIB & Ecole Nationale des Ponts et Chaussées
(418K PDF) -- 6 pages -- October 2006

Monte Carlo Simulation of Economic Capital Requirement And Default Protection Premium
by Amit Kulkarni of the National Institute of Bank Management
(834K PDF) -- 35 pages -- September 20, 2006

On the Term Structure of Loss Distributions: A forward model approach
by Jakob Sidenius of JP Morgan
(171K PDF) -- 14 pages -- September 15, 2006

Portfolio Losses in Factor Models: Term Structures and Intertemporal Loss Dependence
by Leif Andersen of Banc of America Securities
(209K PDF) -- 28 pages -- September 9, 2006

A Jump to Default Extended CEV Model: An application of Bessel processes
by Peter Carr of Bloomberg & NYU Courant Institute, and
Vadim Linetsky of Northwestern University
(284K PDF) -- 25 pages -- September 2006

Multi-Period Defaults and Maturity Effects on Economic Capital in a Ratings-Based Default-Mode Model
by Marc Gürtler of the Technical University at Braunschweig, and
Dirk Heithecker of the Technical University at Braunschweig
(1,333K PDF) -- 50 pages -- August 2006

A New Framework for Dynamic Credit Portfolio Loss Modelling
by Jakob Sidenius of the Royal Bank of Scotland,
Vladimir Piterbarg of Barclays Capital, and
Leif Andersen of Banc of America Securities
(244K PDF) -- 31 pages -- June 18, 2006

Portfolio Losses and the Term Structure of Loss Transition Rates: A new methodology for the pricing of portfolio credit derivatives
by Philipp J. Schönbucher of ETH Zürich
(350K PDF) -- 27 pages -- June 2006

A Cash Flow Based Corporate Credit Portfolio Analysis: A conditional independent default approach
by Hsien-hsing Liao of National Taiwan University, and
Tsung-kang Chen of National Taiwan University
(631K PDF) -- 35 pages -- May 20, 2006

Bankruptcy, Counterparty Risk, and Contagion
by Holger Kraft of the University of Kaiserslautern, and
Mogens Steffensen of the University of Copenhagen
(424K PDF) -- 66 pages -- May 5, 2006

Jumps in Intensity Models
by Jessica Cariboni of European Commission--Joint Research Centre and Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, and
Wim Schoutens of Katholieke Universiteit Leuven
(518K PDF) -- 30 pages -- May 4, 2006

Review and Implementation of Credit Risk Models of the Financial Sector Assessment Program
by Renzo G. Avesani of the International Monetary Fund,
Kexue Liu of the International Monetary Fund,
Alin Mirestean of the International Monetary Fund, and
Jean Salvati of the International Monetary Fund
(677K PDF) -- 35 pages -- May 2006

Modeling Default Risk: A new structural approach
by Yildiray Yildirim of Syracuse University
(150K PDF) -- 12 pages -- April 27, 2006

Credit Risk Models II: Structural Models
by Abel Elizalde of CEMFI and Universidad Pública de Navarra
(385K PDF) -- 37 pages -- April 2006

Credit Risk Models III: Reconciliation Reduced - Structural Models
by Abel Elizalde of CEMFI and Universidad Pública de Navarra
(166K PDF) -- 18 pages -- April 2006

Double Exponential Jump Diffusion Process: A Structural Model of Endogenous Default Barrier with Roll-over Debt Structure
by Binh Dao of the Université Paris Dauphine, and
Monique Jeanblanc of the Université d'Évry
(388K PDF) -- 20 pages -- March 9, 2006

Default Intensity and Expected Recovery of Japanese Banks and "Government": New Evidence from the CDS Market
by Yoichi Ueno of the Bank of Japan, and
Naohiko Baba of the Bank of Japan
(849K PDF) -- 45 pages -- March 2006

Credit Risk in Pure Jump Structural Models
by Filippo Fiorani of Aristeia Capital, and
Elisa Luciano of the University of Torino
(223K PDF) -- 23 pages -- February 28, 2006

Portfolio Credit Risk with Extremal Dependence: Asymptotic Analysis and Efficient Simulation
by Achal Bassamboo of Stanford University,
Sandeep Juneja of the Tata Institute of Fundamental Research, and
Assaf Zeevi of Columbia University
(371K PDF) -- 39 pages -- February 20, 2006

A Simple Multi-Factor "Factor Adjustment" for the Treatment of Credit Capital Diversification
by Juan Carlos Garcia Cespedes of BBVA,
Juan Antonio de Juan Herrero of BBVA,
Alex Kreinin of Algorithmics, Inc., and
Dan Rosen of the Fields Institute
(1,399K PDF) -- 37 pages -- January 20, 2006

Dependent Credit Migrations
by Jonathan Wendin of ETH Zürich, and
Alexander J. McNeil of ETH Zürich
(369K PDF) -- 37 pages -- January 2006

Measuring Marginal Risk Contributions in Credit Portfolios
by Paul Glasserman of Columbia Business School
(418K PDF) -- 41 pages -- Winter 2005/06

On Partial Defaults in Portfolio Credit Risk: Comparing economic and regulatory view
by Rafael Weissbach of the University of Dortmund, and
Carsten von Lieres und Wilkau of WestLB AG
(164K PDF) -- 27 pages -- December 23, 2005

On the Brody-Hughston-Macrina Approach to Modeling of Defaultable Term Structure
by Nannan Yu of the University of New South, and
Marek Rutkowski of the University of New South Wales & Warsaw University of Technology
(263K PDF) -- 27 pages -- December 5, 2005

A Structural Credit-Risk Model based on a Jump Diffusion
by Matthias Scherer of the University of Ulm
(277K PDF) -- 28 pages -- December 2, 2005

Quadratic Models for Portfolio Credit Risk with Shot-Noise Effects
by Raquel M. Gaspar of Stockholm School of Economics, and
Thorsten Schmidt of the University Leipzig
(1,461K PDF) -- 61 pages -- November 2005

Bayesian Inference for Generalized Linear Mixed Models of Portfolio Credit Risk
by Alexander J. McNeil of ETH Zürich, and
Jonathan Wendin of ETH Zürich
(456K PDF) -- 27 pages -- October 5, 2005

How Good is Merton Model at Assessing Credit Risk? Evidence from India
by Amit Kulkarni of the National Institute of Bank Management,
Alok Kumar Mishra of the National Institute of Bank Management, and
Jigisha Thakker of the National Institute of Bank Management
(302K PDF) -- 49 pages -- Fall 2005

On the Applicability of Fourier Based Methods to Credit Portfolio Models with Integrated Interest Rate and Credit Spread Risk
by Peter Grundke of the University of Cologne
(1,414K PDF) -- 38 pages -- September 2005

Completeness of a Reduced-Form Credit Risk Model with Discontinuous Asset Prices
by Tomasz R. Bielecki of the Illinois Institute of Technology,
Monique Jeanblanc of the Université d'Évry Val d'Essonne, and
Marek Rutkowski of the University of New South Wales & Warsaw University of Technology
(232K PDF) -- 19 pages -- August 20, 2005

Analytic Improvement of the Saddle-point Approximation and Spread Risk Attribution in a Portfolio of Tranches
by Damian Taras of Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein,
Christopher Cloke-Browne of Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein, and
Evan Kalimtgis of Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein
(107K PDF) -- 11 pages -- August 4, 2005

Co-monotonic Default Quote Paths for Basket Evaluation
by Christian Bluhm of Credit Suisse, and
Ludger Overbeck of the University of Giessen and HypoVereinsbank
(164K PDF) -- 5 pages -- August 2005

Predictions Based on Certain Uncertainties - A Bayesian Credit Portfolio Approach
by Christoff Gössl of HypoVereinsbank AG
(300K PDF) -- 19 pages -- July 14, 2005

Dependent Events and Changes of Time
by Kay Giesecke of Cornell University, and
Pascal Tomecek of Cornell University
(243K PDF) -- 28 pages -- July 7, 2005

A Multi-period Corporate Credit Model---An Intrinsic Valuation Approach
by Tsung-kang Chen of the National Taiwan University, and
Hsien-hsing Liao of the National Taiwan University
(413K PDF) -- 35 pages -- June 26, 2005

A Fast Algorithm for Computing Expected Loan Portfolio Tranche Loss in the Gaussian Factor Model
by Pavel Okunev of LBNL and University of California, Berkeley
(108K PDF) -- 10 pages -- June 19, 2005

Using Hermite Expansions for Fast and Arbitrarily Accurate Computation of the Expected Loss of a Loan Portfolio Tranche in the Gaussian Factor Model
by Pavel Okunev of LBNL & the University of California, Berkeley
(95K PDF) -- 8 pages -- June 19, 2005

On the Equivalence of the KMV and Maximum Likelihood Methods for Structural Credit Risk Models
by Jin-Chuan Duan of the University of Toronto,
Geneviève Gauthier of HEC, and
Jean-Guy Simonato of HEC
(256K PDF) -- 22 pages -- June 15, 2005

Extending the Merton Model: A Hybrid Approach to Assessing Credit Quality
by Alexandros Benos of the University of Piraeus, and
George Papanastasopoulos University of Peloponnese
(260K PDF) -- 34 pages -- June 2005

Ratings-based Credit Risk Modelling: An empirical analysis
by Pamela Nickell of Moody's KMV,
William Perraudin of Imperial College, and
Simone Varotto of ISMA Center
(602K PDF) -- 26 pages -- May 6, 2005

Calculating Credit Risk Capital Charges with the One-factor Model
by Susanne Emmer of Dr. Nagler & Company GmbH, and
Dirk Tasche of Deutsche Bundesbank
(225K PDF) -- 17 pages -- January 4, 2005

Tail Approximation for Credit Risk Portfolios with Heavy-tailed Risk Factors
by Krassimir Kostadinov of the Munich University of Technology
(262K PDF) -- 24 pages -- January 2005

Merton's Model, Credit Risk, and Volatility Skews
by John Hull of the University of Toronto,
Izzy Nelken of Super Computer Consulting Incorporated, and
Alan White of the University of Toronto
(180K PDF) -- 26 pages -- Winter 2004/05

Shape Factor Models in Credit Risk
by Philip Gisdakis of the University of Oxford
(452K PDF) -- 56 pages -- December 21, 2004

Risk Measurement with Integrated Market and Credit Portfolio Models
by Peter Grundke of the University of Cologne
(216K PDF) -- 40 pages -- December 2004

On Bias of Testing Merton's Model
by Hoi Ying Wong of the Chinese University of Hong Kong, and
Ka Leung Li of the Chinese University of Hong Kong
(110K PDF) -- 9 pages -- November 8, 2004

Partial Information and Hazard Process
by Monique Jeanblanc of the Université d'Evry, and
Stoyan Valchev of ISB Zurich
(537K PDF) -- 32 pages -- November 4, 2004

Discrete Credit Barrier Models
by Claudio Albanese of Imperial College, London, and
Oliver X. Chen of the National University of Singapore
(369K PDF) -- 17 pages -- November 2004

A Queueing Network Approach to Portfolio Credit Risk
by Mark Davis of the Imperial College, London, and
Juan C. Esparragoza of the Imperial College, London
(545K PDF) -- 33 pages -- October 31, 2004

Credit Risk Modeling and Valuation: An Introduction
by Kay Giesecke of Cornell University
(467K PDF) -- 67 pages -- October 24, 2004

The Jarrow and Turnbull Default Risk Model - Evidence from the German Market
by Manfred Fruehwirth of Vienna University, and
Leopold Soegner of the Technical University of Vienna
(565K PDF) -- 49 pages -- October 17, 2004

Sequential Defaults and Incomplete Information
by Kay Giesecke of Cornell University, and
Lisa R. Goldberg of MSCI Barra, Inc.
(211K PDF) -- 26 pages -- Fall 2004

Modeling Credit Risk with Partial Information
by Umut Çetin of Cornell University,
Robert Jarrow of Cornell University,
Philip Protter of Cornell University, and
Yıldıray Yıldırım of Syracuse University
(103K PDF) -- 12 pages -- August 2004

CreditRisk+ by Fast Fourier Transform
by Mario R. Melchiori of the Universidad Nacional del Litoral
(672K PDF) -- 19 pages -- July 2004

Credit Risk Modeling with Affine Processes
by Darrell Duffie of Stanford University
(473K PDF) -- 69 pages -- June 2004

Numerically Stable Computation of CreditRisk+
by Hermann Haaf of Commerzbank AG,
Oliver Reiß of IKB Deutsche Industriebank AG, and
John Schoenmakers of the Weierstrass Institute
(108K PDF) -- 10 pages -- Summer 2004

Structural Versus Reduced Form Models: A New Information Based Perspective
by Robert A. Jarrow of Cornell University, and
Philip Protter of Cornell University
(115K PDF) -- 10 pages -- May 2004

Predictions of Default Probabilities in Structural Models of Debt
by Hayne E. Leland of the University of California, Berkeley
(206K PDF) -- 31 pages -- April 22, 2004

Replication of Defaultable Claims within the Reduced-Form Framework
by Tomasz R. Bielecki of the Illinois Institute of Technology,
Monique Jeanblanc of the Université d'Évry Val d'Essonne, and
Marek Rutkowski of the University of New South Wales
(380K PDF) -- 47 pages -- April 13, 2004

Forecasting Credit Portfolio Risk
by Alfred Hamerle of the Universität Regensburg,
Thilo Liebig of Deutsche Bundesbank, and
Harald Scheule of the Universität Regensburg
(335K PDF) -- 44 pages -- February 2004

Large Portfolio Losses
by Amir Dembo of Stanford University,
Jean-Dominique Deuschel Technische Universität Berlin, and
Darrell Duffie of Stanford University
(205K PDF) -- 14 pages -- January 2004

Modeling Default Risk
by Peter J. Crosbie of Moody's|KMV, and
Jeffrey R. Bohn of Moody's|KMV
(480K PDF) -- 31 pages -- December 18, 2003

Common Poisson Shock Models: Applications to insurance and credit risk modelling
by Filip Lindskog of Risklab and ETH Zentrum, and
Alexander J. McNeil of ETH Zentrum
(553K PDF) -- 30 pages -- November 2003

The Extended Geske-Johnson Model and Its Consistency with Reduced Form Models
by Ren-raw Chen of Rutgers University
(422K PDF) -- 42 pages -- October 24, 2003

Measuring and Marking Counterparty Risk
by Eduardo Canabarro of Goldman Sachs, and
Darrell Duffie of Stanford University
(86K PDF) -- 13 pages -- October 2003

An Extension of the Jarrow-Lando-Turnbull Model to Random Recovery Rate
by Pietro Millossovich of the Università degli Studi di Trieste
(572K PDF) -- 22 pages -- July 4, 2003

Interacting Defaults and Counterparty Risk: a Markovian Approach
by Rüdiger Frey of the University of Leipzig, and
Jochen Backhaus of the University of Leipzig
(313K PDF) -- 20 pages -- July 2003

Analytic Loss Distributions of Heterogeneous Portfolios in the Asset Value Credit Risk Model
by Uwe Wehrspohn of Heidelberg University
(337K PDF) -- 19 pages -- May 2003

Enhancing CreditRisk+
by Götz Giese of Commerzbank AG
(81K PDF) -- 9 pages -- April 2003

Essentials of Credit Portfolio Management
by Kaj Nyström of Swedbank, and
Jimmy Skoglund of Swedbank
(352K PDF) -- 58 pages -- March 20, 2003

Credit Risk and Macroeconomic Dynamics
by M. Hashem Pesaran of the University of Cambridge, and
Til Schuermann of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York
(701K PDF) -- 6 pages -- March 2003

Modelling Dynamic Portfolio Credit Risk
by Ebbe Rogge of the Imperial College of London & ABN AMRO Bank, and
Philipp J. Schönbucher of EHT Zurich
(379K PDF) -- 28 pages -- February 2003

A Framework for Collateral Risk Control Determination
by Diddier Cossin of HEC, University of Lousanne,
Zhijiang Huang of Fame and HEC, University of Lousanne,
Daniel Aunon-Nerin of Fame and HEC, University of Lousanne, and
Fernando González of the European Central Bank
(1,894K PDF) -- 48 pages -- January 2003

The Distribution of Loan Portfolio Value
by Oldrich Alfons Vasicek of KMV
(132K PDF) -- 10 pages -- December 2002

Calculating Value-at-Risk Contributions in CreditRisk+
by Hermann Haaf of Commerzbank AG, and
Dirk Tasche of RiskLab Switzerland
(246K PDF) -- 12 pages -- November 22, 2002

Hazard Rate for Credit Risk and Hedging Defaultable Contingent Claims
by Christophette Blanchet-Scalliet of the Université d'Évry Val dEssonne, and
Monique Jeanblanc of the Université d'Évry Val dEssonne
(176K PDF) -- 14 pages -- November 4, 2002

Tail Behavior of Credit Loss Distributions for General Latent Factor Models
by André Lucas of the Tinbergen Institute Amsterdam,
Pieter Klaassen of Vrije Universiteit,
Peter Spreij of the University of Amsterdam, and
Stefan Straetmans of Maastricht University
(354K PDF) -- 24 pages -- November 8, 2002

Extreme Tails for Linear Portfolio Credit Risk Models
by André Lucas of the Tinbergen Institute Amsterdam,
Pieter Klaassen of Vrije Universiteit,
Peter Spreij of the University of Amsterdam, and
Stefan Straetmans of Maastricht University
(311K PDF) -- 14 pages -- October 2002

Taken to the Limit: Simple and Not-so-simple Loan Loss Distributions
by Philipp J. Schönbucher of Bonn University
(410K PDF) -- 23 pages -- August 2002

Credit Risk Contributions to Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall
by Alexandre Kurth of UBS AG, and
Dirk Tasche of Deutsche Bundesbank
(244K PDF -- 12 pages -- July 31, 2002

Unifying Discrete Structural Credit Risk Models and Reduced-Form Models
by Cho-Jieh Chen of the University of Waterloo, and
Harry Panjer of the University of Waterloo
(262K PDF) -- 37 pages -- July 15, 2002

Credit Spread Bounds and their Implications for Credit Risk Modeling
by Ren-Raw Chen of Rutgers University, and
Jing-zhi Huang of Pennsylvania State University
(369K PDF) -- 41 pages -- June 20, 2002

Credit Portfolio Modelling, Marginal Risk Contributions, and Granularity Adjustment
by Hans Rau-Bredow of the Universität Würzburg
(134K PDF) -- 16 pages -- June 14, 2002

Optimal Default Boundary in Discrete Time Models
by Agata Altieri of the Universitá di Padova, and
Tiziano Vargiolu of the Universitá di Padova
(212K PDF) -- 16 pages -- June 2002

The Dependence of Recovery Rates and Defaults
by Yen-Ting Hu of Birkbeck College, and
William Perraudin of Birkbeck College & Bank of England & CEPR
(158K PDF) -- 26 pages -- February 2002

VaR and Expected Shortfall in Portfolios of Dependent Credit Risks: Conceptual and Practical Insights
by Rüdiger Frey of the University of Zurich, and
Alexander J. McNeil of the Federal Institute of Technology
(326K PDF) -- 15 pages -- January 23, 2002

Default Risk and Hazard Process
by Monique Jeanblanc of Université d'Évry Val d'Essonne, and
Marek Rutkowski of the Warsaw University of Technology
(416K PDF) -- 32 pages -- December 2001

Modeling the Distance-to-Default Process of a Firm
by Marco Avellaneda of New York University, and
Jingyi Zhu of the University of Utah
(274K PDF) -- 18 pages -- October 26, 2001

A Hybrid Genetic-Quantitative Method for Risk-Return Optimisation of Credit Portfolios
by Frank Schlottmann of the Institute AIFB, and
Detlef Seese of the University Karlsruhe
(362K PDF) -- 27 pages -- October 25, 2001

Calculation of Higher Moments in CreditRisk+ with Applications
by Michael B. Gordy of the Federal Reserve Board
(157K PDF) -- 20 pages -- September 21, 2001

Extending Credit Risk (Pricing) Models for the Simulation of Portfolios of Interest Rate and Credit Risk Sensitive Securities
by Norbert Jobst of the University of Cyprus & Brunel University, and
Stavros A. Zenios of the University of Cyprus & University of Pennsylvania
(599K PDF) -- 35 pages -- July 2001

On Modelling Credit Risk Using Arbitrage Free Models
by Frank S. Skinner of the University of Reading, and
Antonio Díaz of the Universidad de Castilla - La Mancha
(369K PDF) -- pages 24 -- July 2001

Comparative Analysis of Alternative Credit Risk Models: An application on German middle market loan portfolios
by Markus Kern of the Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, and
Bernd Rudolph of the Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich
(146K PDF) -- 30 pages -- January 2001

Methodological Problems of Quantitative Credit Risk Modeling in the Czech Economy
by Alexis Derviz of Czech National Bank & Institute of Information Theory and Automation CAS, and
Narcisa Kadlčáková of Czech National Bank
(403K PDF) -- 77 pages -- 2001

Factor Models for Portfolio Credit Risk
by Philipp J. Schönbucher of Bonn University
(142K PDF) -- 20 pages -- December 2000

Building a Credit Risk Valuation Framework for Loan Instruments
by Scott Aguais of Algorithmics LLP,
Larry Forest of Algorithmics LLP, and
Dan Rosen of Algorithmics LLP
(343K PDF) -- 26 pages -- December 2000

A Simplified Method for Calculating the Credit Risk of Lending Portfolios
by Akira Ieda of the Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan,
Kohei Marumo of the Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, and
Toshinao Yoshiba of the Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan
(445K PDF) -- 34 pages -- December 2000

A Comparison of Stochastic Default Rate Models
by Christopher C. Finger of the RiskMetrics Group
(111K PDF) -- 34 pages -- August 2000

Modelling Credit Risk in Indian Bond Markets
by Jayanth R. Varma of the Indian Institute of Management, and
V. Raghunathan of the Indian Institute of Management
(113K PDF) -- 18 pages -- June 2000

Modelling of Default Risk: Mathematical Tools
by Monique Jeanblanc of the Université d'Évry Val d'Essonne, and
Marek Rutkowski of the Warsaw University of Technology
(864K PDF) -- 67 pages -- March 30, 2000

A Comparative Anatomy of Credit Risk Models
by Michael B. Gordy of the Federal Reserve Board
(481K PDF) -- 31 pages -- January 2000

A Comparative Analysis of Current Credit Risk Models
by Michel Crouhy of the Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce,
Dan Galai of the Hebrew University, and
Robert Mark of the Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce
(1,585K PDF) -- 59 pages -- January 2000

Analytical Value-At-Risk with Jumps and Credit Risk
by Darrell Duffie of Stanford University, and
Jun Pan of Stanford University
(379K PDF) -- 27 pages -- November 29, 1999

Modelling of Default Risk: an Overview
by Monique Jeanblanc of the Université d'Évry Val d'Essonne, and
Marek Rutkowski of the Warsaw University of Technology
(724K PDF) -- 58 pages -- October 27, 1999

An Integrated Market and Credit Risk Portfolio Model
by Ian Iscoe of Algorithmics Inc.,
Alex Kreinin of Algorithmics Inc., and
Dan Rosen of Algorithmics Inc.
(512K PDF) -- 18 pages -- September 1999

Devil in the Parameters
by H. Ugur Koyluoglu, Anil Bangia, and Thomas Garside all of Oliver, Wyman & Company
(171K PDF) -- 30 pages -- July 26, 1999

Credit Risk Modelling
by Patricia Jackson of the Bank of England,
Pamela Nickell of the Bank of England, and
William Perraudin of the Bank of England
(373K PDF) -- 28 pages -- June 1999

Credit Risk Modelling: Current practices and applications
by the Basle Committee on Banking Supervision
(290K PDF) -- 65 pages -- April 1999

Some Elements of Rating-Based Credit Risk Modeling
by David Lando of the University of Copenhagen
(192K PDF) -- 22 pages -- February 24, 1999

Integrating Interest Rate Risk and Credit Risk in Asset and Liability Management
by Robert A. Jarrow of Cornell University, and
Donald R. van Deventer of Kamakura Corporation
(143K PDF) -- 20 pages -- December 28, 1998

Portfolio Credit Risk
by Thomas C. Wilson of McKinsey and Company
(259K PDF) -- 12 pages -- October 1998

A One-Parameter Representation of Credit Risk and Transition Matrices
by Lawrence R. Forest, Jr. of KPMG Peat Marwick,
Barry Belkin of Daniel H. Wagner Associates, and
Stephan J. Suchower of Daniel H. Wagner Associates
(96K HTML) -- 9 pages -- Third Quarter 1998

A Generalized Framework for Credit Risk Portfolio Models
by H. Ugur Koyluoglu of Oliver, Wyman & Company, and
Andrew Hickman of CSFP Capital, Inc.
(137K PDF) -- 19 pages -- September 14, 1998

From CreditMetrics to CreditRisk+ and Back Again
by Michael B. Gordy of the Federal Reserve Board
(141K PDF) -- 9 pages -- June 23, 1998

Credit Risk Models at Major U.S. Banking Institutions: Current state of the art and implications for assessments of capital adequacy
by the Task Force on Internal Credit Risk Models of the Federal Reserve System
(145K PDF) -- 58 pages -- May 1998

Probabilistic Aspects of Default Risk Modeling
by Tomasz Bielecki of Northeastern Illinois University, and
Marek Rutkowski of the Technical University of Warsaw
(386K PDF) -- 24 pages -- 1998

CreditRisk+ A Credit Risk Management Framework
by Tom Wilde of CSFB
(413K PDF) -- 72 pages -- October 1997

A Markov Model for the Term Structure of Credit Risk Spreads
by Robert A. Jarrow of Cornell University,
David Lando of the University of Copenhagen, and
Stuart M. Turnbull of Queen's University
(467K PDF) -- 43 pages -- Summer 1997

CreditMetrics™ -- Technical Document
by Greg M. Gupton of the Morgan Guaranty Trust Company,
Christopher C. Finger of the Morgan Guaranty Trust Company, and
Mickey Bhatia of the Morgan Guaranty Trust Company
(1,361K PDF) -- 212 pages -- April 2, 1997

A Jump- Diffusion Approach to Modeling Credit Risk and Valuing Defaultable Securities
by Chunsheng Zhou of the Federal Reserve Board
(349K PDF) -- 49 pages -- March 1997

Probability of Loss on Loan Portfolio
by Oldrich Vasicek of KMV Corp.
(55K PDF) -- 6 pages -- February 12, 1987

Limiting Loan Loss Probability Distribution
by Oldrich Vasicek of KMV Corp.
(55K PDF) -- 6 pages -- August 9, 1991

Credit Valuation
by Oldrich Alfons Vasicek of KMV, LLC
(161K PDF) -- 18 pages -- March 22, 1984

Additional References (sorted by author)

Acerbi, Carlo and