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JEL Classification C52
"Model Evaluation and Testing"

These are all the papers that have a JEL assignment (not all authors have given JEL codes to their papers) and that include the C52 classification.     (sorted by date)

Barrier Options under Lévy Processes: a Short-Cut
by José Fajardo of Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)
(418K PDF) - 15 pages -- May 7, 2013

Lando, David, Mamdouh Medhat, Mads Stenbo Nielsen, Søren Feodor Nielsen, "Additive Intensity Regression Models in Corporate Default Analysis", Forthcoming: Journal of Financial Econometrics, (2013).

Bounds for Rating Override Rates
by Dirk Tasche of Financial Services Authority, UK
(495K PDF) -- 20 pages -- June 13, 2012

Examining what Best Explains Corporate Credit Risk: Accounting-based versus market-based models
by Antonio Trujillo-Ponce of Universidad Pablo de Olavide de Sevilla,
Reyes Samaniego-Medina of Universidad Pablo de Olavide de Sevilla, and
Clara Cardone-Riportella of Universidad Carlos III de Madrid
(184K PDF) -- 44 pages -- April 2012

Firm Default and Aggregate Fluctuations
by Tor Jacobson of Sveriges Riksbank,
Jesper Lindé of Federal Reserve Board, and
Kasper Roszbach of Sveriges Riksbank
(1442K PDF) -- 47 pages -- August 22, 2011

Some Observations on Improving a Bank's Share Value with Credit Portfolio Management, Credit-transfer Pricing and Stress Testing
by Jeffrey R. Bohn of Solition Financial Analytics, Tokyo, and
Roger M. Stein of Moody's Research Labs, Inc.
(414K PDF) -- 30 pages -- June 30, 2011

The Role of Stress Testing in Credit Risk Management
by Roger M. Stein of the Moody's Research Labs
(272K PDF) -- 20 pages -- June 15, 2011

Modeling Ultimate Loss Given Default on Corporate Debt
by Michael Jacobs, Jr. of the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, and
Ahmet K. Karagozoglu of the Hofstra University
(149K PDF) -- 26 pages -- May 2011

The Predictive Accuracy of Credit Ratings: Measurement and Statistical Inference
by Walter Orth of the University of Cologne
(272K PDF) -- 20 pages -- February 16, 2011

Corporate Bond Defaults are Consistent with Conditional Independence
by Florian Kramer of Allianz Investment Management SE, and
Gunter Löffler of Ulm University
(294K PDF) -- 31 pages -- April 2010

The Merton Structural Model and IRB Compliance
by Matej Jovan of the Bank of Slovenia
(233K PDF) -- 19 pages -- 2010

The Economic Role of Jumps and Recovery Rates in the Market for Corporate Default Risk
by Paul Schneider of the University of Warwick,
Leopold Sögner of Institute for Advanced Studies, Vienna, and
Tanja Veža of Vienna University of Economics and Business
(498K PDF) -- 60 pages -- May 14, 2009

International Banks' Ratings with an Indicator Variable for Country Effects
by Roman Matousek of London Metropolitan University,
Chris Stewart of London Metropolitan University, and
Gary van Vuuren of Fitch Ratings
(220K PDF) -- 19 pages -- May 2009

Accounting-Based versus Market-Based Cross-Sectional Models of CDS Spreads
by Sanjiv R. Das of Santa Clara University,
Paul Hanouna of Villanova University, and
Atulya Sarin of Santa Clara University
(380K PDF) -- 12 pages -- April 2009

Stefanescu, Catalina, Radu Tunaru, Stuart M. Turnbull, "The Credit Rating Process and Estimation of Transition Probabilities: A Bayesian approach", Journal of Empirical Finance, Vol. 16, No. 2, (March 2009), pp. 216-234.

Credit Spread Changes within Switching Regimes
by Olfa Maalaoui of HEC Montreal,
Georges Dionne of HEC Montreal, and
Pascal François of HEC Montreal
(314K PDF) -- 52 pages -- February, 12, 2009

Assessing Portfolio Credit Risk Changes in a Sample of EU Large and Complex Banking Groups in Reaction to Macroeconomic Shocks
by Olli Castrén of the European Central Bank,
Trevor Fitzpatrick of the European Central Bank, and
Matthias Sydow of the European Central Bank
(1,811K PDF) -- 38 pages -- February 2009

Hedging Credit: Equity liquidity matters
by Sanjiv R. Das of Santa Clara University, and
Paul Hanouna of Villanova University
(209K PDF) -- 12 pages -- January 2009

Specification Analysis of Structural Credit Risk Models
by Jing-zhi Huang of Pennsylvania State University, and
Hao Zhou of the Federal Reserve Board
(338K PDF) -- 44 pages -- October 2008

Correlation in Corporate Defaults: Contagion or conditional independence?
by David Lando of the Copenhagen Business School, and
Mads Stenbo Nielsen of the Copenhagen Business School
(620K PDF) -- 41 pages -- August 7, 2008

Goodness-of-Fit Test for Event Forecasting
by Andreas Blöchlinger of Zürcher Kantonalbank, and
Markus Leippold of Imperial College London
(390K PDF) -- 46 pages -- January 9, 2008

Inflation Uncertainty, Asset Valuations, and the Credit Spreads Puzzle
by Alexander David of the University of Calgary
(692K PDF) -- 56 pages -- November 2006

Testing Probability Calibrations: Application to credit scoring models
by Andreas Blöchlinger of Credit Suisse, and
Markus Leippold of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York & University of Zurich
(379K PDF) -- 36 pages -- May 6, 2006

Advancing Loss Given Default Prediction Models: How the quiet have quickened
by Greg M. Gupton of Moody's|KMV
(733K PDF) -- 46 pages -- July 2005

From Default Probabilities to Credit Spreads: Credit risk models do explain market prices
by Stefan M. Denzler of Converium Ltd.,
Michel M. Dacorogna of Converium Ltd.,
Ulrich A. Müller of Converium Ltd., and
Alexander J. McNeil of Swiss Federal Institute of Technology (ETH)
(408K PDF) -- 18 pages -- March 22, 2005

Evidence on the Incompleteness of Merton-type Structural Models for Default Prediction
by Roger M. Stein of Moody's|KMV
(184K PDF) -- 11 pages -- February 9, 2005

LossCalc v2: Dynamic Prediction of LGD
by Greg M. Gupton of Moody's|KMV, and
Roger M. Stein of Moody's|KMV
(1,187K PDF) -- 44 pages -- January 2005

An Evaluation of the Base Correlation Framework for Synthetic CDOs
by Søren Willemann of the Aarhus School of Business
(334K PDF) -- 25 pages -- December 20, 2004

The Jarrow and Turnbull Default Risk Model - Evidence from the German Market
by Manfred Frühwirth of Vienna University, and
Leopold Sögner of the Technical University of Vienna
(565K PDF) -- 49 pages -- October 17, 2004

Hillegeist, Stephen A., Elizabeth K. Keating, Donald P. Cram, and Kyle G. Lundstedt, " Assessing the Probability of Bankruptcy", Review of Accounting Studies, Vol. 9, No. 1, (March 2004), pp. 5-34.

Optimal Simultaneous Validation Tests of Default Probabilities, Dependencies, and Credit Risk Models
by Uwe Wehrspohn of Heidelberg University
(621K PDF) -- 11 pages -- July 15, 2004

Frerichs, Hergen and Gunter Löffler, " Evaluating Credit Risk Models Using Loss Density Forecasts", Journal of Risk, Vol. 5, No. 4, University of Frankfurt -- Main, (Summer 2003), pp. 1-23.

Are Credit Scoring Models Sensitive With Respect to Default Definitions? Evidence from the Austrian Market
by Evelyn Hayden of the University of Vienna
(604K PDF) -- 44 pages -- February 2003

Measuring the Discriminative Power of Rating Systems
by Bernd Engelmann of Deutsche Bundesbank
Evelyn Hayden University of Vienna, and
Dirk Tasche of Deutsche Bundesbank
(334K PDF) -- 32 pages -- November 2002

Beyond Correlation: Extreme Co-movements Between Financial Assets
by Roy Mashal of Columbia University, and
Assaf Zeevi of Columbia University
(754K PDF) -- 48 pages -- October 14, 2002

Moody's RiskCalc™ for Private US Banks
by Ahmet E. Kocagil of Moodys|KMV,
Alexander Reyngold of Moody's|KMV,
Roger M. Stein of Moody's|KMV, and
Eduardo Ibarra of Moody's|KMV
(666K PDF) -- 28 pages -- July 2002

Evaluating credit risk models: A critique and a proposal
by Hergen Frerichs of the University of Frankfurt, and
Gunter Löffler of the University of Frankfurt
(258K PDF) -- 52 pages -- May 2002

LossCalc™: Moody's Model for Predicting Loss Given Default (LGD)
by Greg M. Gupton of Moody's|KMV, and
Roger M. Stein of Moody's|KMV
(1,189K PDF) -- 32 pages -- February 2002

The Jarrow/Turnbull Default Risk Model: Evidence from the German Market
by Manfred Frühwirth of Vienna University of Economics, and
Leopold Sögner of Vienna University of Economics
(296K PDF) -- 26 pages -- October 8, 2001

Factors Affecting the Yields on Noninvestment Grade Bond Indices: a cointegration analysis
by Theodore M. Barnhill, Jr. of George Washington University,
Frederick L. Joutz of George Washington University, and
William F. Maxwell of Texas Tech University
(213K PDF) -- 30 pages -- May 2000

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