Defining a Beta Distribution Function for Construction Simulation

by Javier Fente of Arizona State University,
Kraig Knutson of Arizona State University, and
Cliff Schexnayder of Arizona State University

Winter 1999

Abstract: In most applications of simulation to construction, the underlying Probability Distribution Function (PDF) is generally unknown. Consequently, an expert will have to select a PDF hoping that the one that is chosen matches the shape of the underlying distribution. This research attempts to quantify, through a sensitivity analysis, the effect of subjective information in choosing parameters for a Beta distribution to be used in earthmoving simulation models.

Published in: Proceedings of the 31st conference on Winter simulation: Simulation--a bridge to the future, Vol. 2, (December 1999), pp. 05-08.

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