JEL Classification C32 "Multivariate: Time-Series Models"These are all the papers that have a JEL assignment (not all authors have given JEL codes to their papers) and that include the C32 classification. (sorted by date) Market-based Credit Ratings by Drew S. Creal of University of Chicago, Robert B. Gramacy of University of Chicago, and Ruey S. Tsay of University of Chicago (887K PDF) -- 31 pages -- September 24, 2012 Conditional Probabilities for Euro area Sovereign Default Risk by André Lucas of VU University Amsterdam & Duisenberg School of Finance, Bernd Schwaab of European Central Bank, and Xin Zhang of VU University Amsterdam & Tinbergen Institute (256K PDF) -- 24 pages -- June 28, 2012 Observation Driven Mixed-measurement Dynamic Factor Models with an Application to Credit Risk by Drew Creal of the University of Chicago, Bernd Schwaab of the European Central Bank, Siem Jan Koopman of the VU University Amsterdam & Tinbergen Institute, Amsterdam, and André Lucas of the European Central Bank & Tinbergen Institute, Amsterdam (373K PDF) -- 21 pages -- February 11, 2011 Castrén, Olli, Stéphane Dées, Fadi Zaher, "Stress-testing Euro Area Corporate Default Probabilities using a Global Macroeconomic Model", Journal of Financial Stability, Vol. 6, No. 2, (June 2010), pp. 64-78. An Econometric Model to Quantify Benchmark Downturn LGD on Residential Mortgages by Marco Morone of Intesa Sanpaolo, and Marco Cornaglia of Intesa Sanpaolo (499K PDF) -- 28 pages -- May 28, 2010 On Correlation and Default Clustering in Credit Markets by Antje Berndt of Carnegie Mellon University, Peter Ritchken of Case Western Reserve University, and Zhiqiang Sun of Fifth Third Asset Management (738K PDF) -- 53 pages -- October 25, 2009 Detecting Regime Shifts in Corporate Credit Spreads by Georges Dionne of HEC Montreal, Pascal François of HEC Montreal, and Olfa Maalaoui of HEC Montreal (314K PDF) -- 46 pages -- August 2009 Credit Spread Changes within Switching Regimes by Olfa Maalaoui of HEC Montreal, Georges Dionne of HEC Montreal, and Pascal François of HEC Montreal (314K PDF) -- 52 pages -- February, 12, 2009 On Correlation Effects and Default Clustering in Credit Models by Antje Berndt of Carnegie Mellon University, Peter Ritchken of Case Western Reserve University, and Zhiqiang Sun of Case Western Reserve University (902K PDF) -- 57 pages -- September 2008 Credit Default Swap Spreads and US Financial Market: Investigating some dependence structure by Hayette Gatfaoui of Rouen School of Management (581K PDF) -- 27 pages -- September 2007 Migration Dependence Among the US Business Sectors by Oussama Chakroun of HEC Montréal (772K PDF) -- 31 pages -- June 20, 2007 Dynamical Analysis of Corporate Bonds based on the Yield Spread Term-Quality Surface by Tomoaki Shouda of Mitsubishi UFJ Trust Investment Technology Institute Co., Ltd and Hitotsubashi University (2,907K PDF) -- 34 pages -- January 16, 2006 Global Business Cycles and Credit Risk by M. Hashem Pesaran of the University of Cambridge, Til Schuermann of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and Wharton Financial Institutions Center, and Björn-Jakob Treutler of Mercer Oliver Wyman (837K PDF) -- 61 pages -- September 2005 A Structural Credit-Risk Model based on a Jump Diffusion by Matthias Scherer of the University of Ulm (277K PDF) -- 28 pages -- December 2, 2005 Macroeconomic Dynamics and Credit Risk: A Global Perspective by M. Hashem Pesaran of the University of Cambridge & USC, Til Schuermann of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York & Wharton University, Björn-Jakob Treutler of Mercer Oliver Wyman & WHU, and Scott M. Weiner of the University of Oxford (921K) -- 60 pages -- April 12, 2005 The Pricing of Unexpected Credit Losses by Jeffery D. Amato of the Bank for International Settlements, and Eli M. Remolona of the Bank for International Settlements (254K PDF) -- 41 pages -- May 2005 A Non-Gaussian Panel Time Series Model for Estimating and Decomposing Default Risk by Robert J. Daniels of KPMG Mexico, Siem Jan Koopman of Vrije Universiteit and Tingergen Institute Amsterdam, and André Lucas of Tingergen Institute Amsterdam (651K PDF) -- 32 pages -- January 31, 2005 How Does Systematic Risk Impact US Credit Spreads? A Copula Study by Hayette Gatfaoui of the University Paris I - Panthéon-Sorbonne (547K PDF) -- 27 pages -- June 2003
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